The European car industry is facing decline.
Sales in 2025 remain roughly 25% below pre-Covid levels, while production has dropped by around 20% as manufacturers have been forced to close factories or fall into overcapacity.
Factories that were once major contributors to Europe’s economy have been shuttered, including many last year: the Ford Saarlouis, Audi Brussels and Stellantis Luton are some of the most notable to fall.
Many that do remain are running with significant overcapacity, the average utilisation being just 55% in Europe, according to consultancy firm AlixPartners. That’s close or below the break-even point to make money on each car built, which generally sits between 50 and 80%. Hypothetically, if all car makers utilised each other's plants, eight will need to be closed to reach a sustainable level of capacity.
So where does that leave contract manufacturing? An industry that used to be big business as manufacturers sought to outsource production while factories burst with demand from the growing European market now faces an existential threat.
| Figures for EU, UK and EFTA in millions (SMMT, ACEA) | Sales | Production |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18.1 | 19.4 |
| 2019 | 18.1 | 18.5 |
| 2024 | 13.0 | 15.5 |
| 2025 (est) | 13.2 | 15.4 |
Valmet
Peak production: 110,000 in 2018 - Mercedes A-Class and GLC
2024 production: 89,065 units - Mercedes A-Class and AMG GT 4-Door Coupé
2026 production: Mercedes A-Class and AMG GT 4-Door Coupé
Best known as the manufacturer of a great number of Saabs, Valmet of Finland has also produced European-market Ladas, Simcas and Talbots, the Opel/Vauxhall Calibra and the Porsche Boxster and Cayman.
With few remaining contracts after the 2008 financial crash, majority state-owned Valmet took on production of the Norwegian-designed Think City EV and Fisker Karma.
However, with Think going bankrupt in 2011 and Fisker following in 2012 (after just 2500 examples of each car were built), the risk of taking on start-up contracts backfired.
Since 2013, Valmet has built various Mercedes models, but once again the company is now facing a gap in its production lines.
One of those Mercedes is the AMG GT 4-Door Coupé, but that is due to be replaced this year by a production version of the electric GT XX concept that will be built in Germany.
The other is the A-Class, but production of the hatchback will come to an end in three years' time, with its indirect replacement, the CLA, also being built in Germany.





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I really did try to like the DB11 and the update, the DB12, but I just can't. It's another Reichman disaster.
I tried to like it because we know that design has to keep evolving and updating. I tried to like the nose, and I do a bit, but things like the lights look more like an afterthought. The butresses at the rear I really don't like, where the air goes in. And how the roof rails were originally in a differnet colour, just like the show car version of the DBX (which people commented they didn't like so it was a surprise Aston continued with those rails).
The rear is bad, just doesn't seem to have much styling to it. And in profile the car just doesn't look special at all.
Then you get to the interior and the full schizophrenia of Marek Reichman comes out. Every single design idea dumped out in an uncohesive mess. No part linking into the next. It's like all six of his personalities never met, not even on a Zoom call. And don't start me on the broguing.
To then repeat that terrible interior with the DBX wouldn't have helped its sales.
Rember this guy has been at Aston for about 20 years and he's had no success. The cars bumble out the showrooms, there isn't massive queues waiting for cars. And Aston are still in trouble, needing rescue packages several times a year. To change their fortuines they need to do something different, and that starts with finding a new competent designer.
Not surprising
Europe, especially in the EU, are through their Nut Zero policies basically killing industry & manufacturing (not just automotive, but ALL industry - chemicals, oil, gas, automotive, machinery etc...
Interesting story. Manufacturing in this context only means final assembly lines, as the pictures show. Doesnt mention more details but maybe even the body in white might be shipped in as well as power trains and major sub assemblys such as instrument dash unit and the heating cooling system