The government must introduce stricter regulations on sales of petrol and diesel cars to meet its 2040 pollution pledge, say industry figures

Stricter action to slow the sale of new combustion-engined cars will be needed if the government is to hit its target for zero-emissions transport by 2040, a conference was told last week.

“Consumers do not have responsibility for this problem; we can’t expect them to have the solution,” said Jillian Anable, professor of transport and energy at the University of Leeds, at the annual LowCVP conference in London. “It is only policy that has led to [OEM] product policy. Why should the consumer be expected to lead the change?”

Electrified plug-in vehicles currently account for about 2% of the UK market – a share that has taken about seven years to establish.

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To achieve 100% of new car sales in the next 22 years – will require “regulation, regulation, regulation,” said Anable during the conference, which was organised by LowCVP, a forum for industry and government to discuss decarbonising road transport.

Speaking at the same event, Bob Moran, head of environment strategy at the Department of Transport and one of the authors of the government’s 'Road to Zero' white papers, stressed that there will be “no bans” on any type of combustion-engine car.

“The 2040 policy will be technology led - there will be no bans,” he said.

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The government will set targets for new car sales to comprise “50-70% ultra-low emissions” vehicles by 2030, rising to 100% zero-emissions vehicles (ZEV) by 2040.

The government's definition of ZEV also emerged in the White Paper: a car capable of 50 miles of continuous zero-emissions driving.

A vociferous critic of the car industry, Greg Archer of Transport and Environment, pointed the finger at the car industry for failing to increase supply of electric cars.

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“Demand for BEVs is limited by supply. There has not been any increase in production since about 2013 when the BMW i3 was launched. Today nine models account for 91% of electric car sales,” he said.

Speaking for Volkswagen, its head of corporate PR Paul Buckett, predicted that the car industry would change more in the next five years than in the last 50.

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“By 2025, VW Group will have launched 80 new EVs and by 2030 there will be EV versions of 300 models in the group,” said Buckett.

The managing director of LowCVP, Andy Eastlake, also stressed there wouldn’t be a ban on combustion-engined cars.

“We haven’t banned horses and I am not aware that we are going to ban combustion-engined cars,” he said.

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289

16 July 2018

.....is competetive, then 'regulation, regulation, regulation' will achieve bugger all. It will just push buyers into used cars.

16 July 2018

To my mind, the only true ZEVs are EVs and fuel cell vehicles. A plug-in hybrid has the potential to be a ZEV, but only if the user plugs it in regularly and doesn't attempt long distances which require the combustion engine. Even a plug-in with a 50 mile electric range is likely to do most of its travelling with the combustion engine in the hands of high mileaage drivers. 

I'd be interested to see a breakdown of the 2% electrified plug in vehicles in the UK. The figure seems high - so are these EVs and plug-in hybrids, or do they also include mild hybrids?    

16 July 2018
LP in Brighton wrote:

To my mind, the only true ZEVs are EVs and fuel cell vehicles. A plug-in hybrid has the potential to be a ZEV, but only if the user plugs it in regularly and doesn't attempt long distances which require the combustion engine. Even a plug-in with a 50 mile electric range is likely to do most of its travelling with the combustion engine in the hands of high mileaage drivers. 

I'd be interested to see a breakdown of the 2% electrified plug in vehicles in the UK. The figure seems high - so are these EVs and plug-in hybrids, or do they also include mild hybrids?    

Well your mind is wrong - the ONLY ZEV is an EV that is run on 100% renewable energy, something which currently is not possble in the UK. EVs are still much cleaner than ICEs when run on electricity made from gas and even coal, but "zero emission" they aint, thats a totally unscientific fallacy. And some would argue that an EV wll only be "zero emissions" when it is MADE using nothing but renewables.

XXXX just went POP.

16 July 2018

yeah yeah that’s all well and good price everyone out of their fuel efficient cars with no real alternative but what about the lorries and buses causing the real pollution in towns and villages - not to mention the fact they clog up the roads and leave pothole after pothole in their wake? Where’s the action against them? 

16 July 2018
georgeroseguy wrote:

yeah yeah that’s all well and good price everyone out of their fuel efficient cars with no real alternative but what about the lorries and buses causing the real pollution in towns and villages - not to mention the fact they clog up the roads and leave pothole after pothole in their wake? Where’s the action against them? 

Trucks and Buses are vital to the UK’s economy and contributes about £15 Billion in fuel and road taxes, what do you replace them with !!!. Most trucks and buses (about 400,000) will be zero/vlow emissions before most cars will, as there’s about to be a big shift to gas or electric in a few years from now. Seeing as £15 billion would be enough to fix all the roads in the uk, I don’t think anyone should be moaning about these working vehicles being on the roads.

16 July 2018

As usual, someone whose LinkedIn page shows little - to say the least - experience of industry and the workings of commerce and the buying public, is lecturing the public on what they are allowed to have.  To say that consumers should not be expected to lead the change - presumably because we're all too naive - is patronising in the extreme and smacks of totalitarianism.  To then use our proclaimed naivety as a justification for what has clearly failed in the past - namely further legislation - is purely arrogant conceit that she knows best.  There seems to be a reverse Dunning–Kruger effect here.  Was she behind the successful govt legislation that used higher taxation to steer us into diesels?  Fortunately the Dept of Transport has a more inclusive approach to resolving our pollution problems that allows the public to have an informed opinion.

Unfortunately, while the govt states that her opinions are irrelevant, Autocar, which usually champions the automotive industry, is presenting her as an 'industry expert'.  Before we know it, Autocar's mis-speak will become a defacto title.

What, save some rather dry academic publications such as "Why car buyers say they care about fuel economy, but don’t" (which simply add to her apparent conviction that she knows better) makes her any more experienced than me or anyone else that has made considered purchases of a variety of cars?  I am not able to recharge an electric car at home, and have to make very long journeys so my next car will probably be a petrol hybrid, but I wish to make that decision myself based on my requirements and environmental concience, rather than have my life dictated to me.  Otherwise, what is the point of getting up in the morning?

 

16 July 2018

Why wouldn't you want someone to trade in a car that emits a higher level of pollutants over buying a cleaner one of any fuel type?

 

Mad.

 

17 July 2018
Symanski wrote:

Why wouldn't you want someone to trade in a car that emits a higher level of pollutants over buying a cleaner one of any fuel type?

 

Mad.

 

That’s fine, as long as tax increases are not the way they do it. Don’t tax us out of our petrol and diesel cars, just encourage manufacturers to build better cars for the future. When my car is at the end of its useful life, I’ll buy whatever is available to me at a reasonable cost, be that electric, gas or hydrogen.

17 July 2018

Here we go again.A Government trying to stiffle the world with the legislation blanket.I have asked the question before.Has anyone qantified the emission cost to produce a fully electric car?More importantly,what is the cost of either recycling the out of date battery packs or destroying them completely?How do these evangelists expect wind and solar to produce the base load power to provide the basic living needs of a growing world population.I was involved in seeing wheat,cotton and vegetables(2miilion lettuce plants a crop) being grown and the work to prepare the land could not be done by an electric tractor.This is basically what government is wanting,todays society to be run on "candles" and dam the consequences.Maybe after all we correspondents have left this earth, technology will have unlocked the universes energy production secrets,but until that happens we have to make do with todays systems and stop being preoccupied on them.Get on with life.

garage man

17 July 2018

Sounds like lobbyists making a load of noise without solid foundation.

Before we lambast car makers and Governments where is the Planetary Cost analysis?Tell the public the relative environmental cost of deep-sea mining required to meet the demand of precious metals used for current battery technology. What other damage must we do to achieve the EV goal?

I'm all for moving the EVs but not if the mad rush does more damage than the problem it's supposedly trying to fix.

...

Why not set the Environmental goals but ban the use of precious metals to achieve the target? Will that kick manufacturers enough? Afterall if you plan to use legislation to force change don't go for half-measures!

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