According to the ACEA and CLEPA, the impact is most likely to be felt in areas incuding tariffs, customs procedures, the regulatory framework and access to labour. Tariffs, for instance, could amount to 10% for passenger cars, 10 to 22% for commercial vehicles, and 3 to 4% on average for parts and components.
Sigrid de Vries, Secretary General of CLEPA, echoed Jonnaert’s views, saying: “The EU Single Market represents a fundamental driver of global competitiveness. Vehicle manufacturers and component suppliers are entangled in a highly integrated manufacturing network spanning Europe.
“Tariff- and burden-free market access, as well as a stable and predictable regulatory framework, are crucial instruments to sustain the supplier industry’s technology leadership and secure investments and jobs.”
The SMMT's Hawes added: "If we have to impose tariffs, it would be felt on both sides of the channel, but in slightly different ways. There will be an increase in sticker price. And if the price of vehicles go up, it would effect export volumes coming into the UK. UK consumers would also be paying more. And for those who export from the UK, they will have to swallow that 10% because you can't push it on to European consumers." He added that the "worse-case scenario" would be World Trade Organisation tariffs. "Hopefully we don't have to revert to WO tariffs."
When asked whether manufacturers might consider opening plants in the UK if tariffs were imposed - PSA boss Carlos Tavares has already referenced such a move in relation to the purchase of Opel - Hawes commented: "The industry is very agile and adaptable and will always look at mitigating costs. If there are borders going up, that does compound the need for local suppliers to get around those borders.
"There are so many factors involved in supply selection, including cost, quality and innovation. But if this [tariffs imposed by Brexit] encouraged people to invest in UK that would be a positive."
The automotive industry is a major point of negotiation in Brexit discussions. Today, the EU is the UK’s biggest trade partner. More than half of all the cars and 90% of all the commercial vehicles built in the UK last year were bought by customers in Europe.
In addition, the EU represents more than 80% of the UK’s motor vehicle import volume, and is worth €42 billion. Seven out of every 10 new cars sold in the UK come from EU plants.
Overall, the automotive industry in the UK and Europe represents 6.5% of the EU’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and provides employment for 12.2million people.
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