Volkswagen’s ‘group nights’ have become a fixed point on the global motor show circuit.
The night before a big motor show opens, VW commandeers the biggest exhibition hall in town (one year, converting Beijing’s Olympic swimming pool) and rolls out never fewer than eight or nine concepts or new models from its 12-brand line-up.
But perhaps the production-destined new Volkswagen Passat plug-in hybrid was the most important car at the exposition.
This – rather beautifully built – machine is just the sort of car that will become a much more familiar site on our roads by the end of the decade.
As the factory cost of hybrid transmissions falls and the cost of building ‘clean’ diesel engines increases (as well as the potential backlash against diesel pollution), mid-range hybrids such as this will help VW meet the EU CO2 ‘fleet’ target of 95g/km by 2020.
But once the razzle-dazzle was over, VW boss Martin Winterkorn stepped forward to deliver to EU legislators and politicians the most nuanced and diplomatic warning you are ever likely to hear.
The edited version was quite simple: before you set fleet CO2 targets for beyond 2020, give the industry a two or three-year breathing space.
Winterkorn pointed out that unless real consumers start to buy hybrid and battery electric vehicles in numbers, improving on the 95g/km Co2 average would be commercially impossible.
“Climate protection doesn’t come free,” as he put it. The upshot, is that the plug-in Passat – and cars like it – might yet mark the technical peak for the mass-market car.
You can’t, as Winterkorn didn’t quite say, force people to buy these low CO2 models. While he repeatedly stressed that VW was ‘rigorously’ in favour of the 2020 95g/km target and the ‘greening’ of its factories, his killer fact was that reducing CO2 output by 1g/km required VW to invest of “100 million euros every year”.
Winterkorn hinted that tougher EU targets could prevent the auto industry from “competing” globally if it was flattened in its home market by selling very expensive technology that it could not get consumers to pay for.
“We fully back the 95g/km target, but European carmakers must not be stopped from competing," Winterkorn said. "It took a huge effort to get to the 95g/km target and Volkswagen is spending 10 billion euros in Europe on research and development every year.
“I am making these objective and calm points. We can only have environmental sustainability if we can afford it. Otherwise we are calling industry into question. VW is doing its utmost to future-proof.”
Volkswagen can expect a tornado of criticism from environmental activists once his speech has seeped across social media. It will, no doubt, be portrayed as a typical ‘profit-hungry’ company trying to ‘hold up environmental progress’.
You can also guarantee that there will be absolutely no discussion about how you force car buyers to pay enough for super-low CO2 to make them commercially viable.