BMW’s next all new Mini could be closely related to Mercedes’ next A-class, Autocar has learned – and it could also have a Smart-based little brother. Back in June, we published a story explaining that the rival German car-makers were seriously considering co-operating on the development of a new, front-wheel-drive car architecture.The new shared platform would be designed to give BMW the greater flexibility it desires to expand the Mini range, while giving Mercedes a cheaper and more conventional means to build a replacement for the A- and B-class models.Many within the car industry expect the announcement of this joint venture to make headlines at the Frankfurt motor show in September. And this week, five weeks ahead of the German show, there have been reports that BMW has already got a smaller version of the Mini in its product plan.

Born out of necessity

The background to the deal is one rooted in the problems faced by BMW and Mercedes in building their current small, front-drivers, combined with the looming emissions deadline hanging over the entire European car industry.BMW’s biggest problem with the Mini is that the car’s platform is not flexible enough to be used to build a larger, five-door version of the car to compete with the bigger superminis, or a smaller car to take on the Smart Fortwo, Fiat Panda and Toyota Aygo. Mercedes’ overwhelming desire with the next A-class is to make it more conventional and cheaper to manufacture. The current baby Merc’s ‘sandwich platform’ demands a unique powertrain installed at an angle, and it’s expensive – too expensive, they argue - for use in a car that sells at less than £14,000. Both BMW and Mercedes are under pressure to expand their small car ranges. With car-maker’s average carbon dioxide emissions across their range expected to be limited to 120g/km by 2012, neither BMW nor Mercedes can afford to take their eye off the small car sector, as making more small cars will bring their overall emissions average down considerably. The question is, how will they go about it?

Option 1: join forces on a cheaper, more flexible front-drive platform

The option favoured by many analysts and industry commentators is that BMW and Mercedes-Benz will pool their resources and develop an all-new small-car platform with a transverse, front-mounted engine, front-wheel drive and a torsion beam rear axle.The platform would have to be flexible enough to accommodate a variety of different hatchback and MPV bodystyles, and different wheelbases and front and rear overhangs; it would have to be tunable for various different ride and handling compromises too, to suit BMW for the Mini and Mercedes for the A-class; it would have to be cheaper in the long run than what Mercedes has currently; and it would have to allow BMW the opportunity better to package the interior of the next Mini hatchback.The production technology would also have to travel well. It’s hard to imagine BMW giving up its Oxfordshire Mini factory, and so whatever tooling was necessary would have to be able to work at two sites minimum. And it would have to allow BMW to produce Minis at a rate much higher than it currently can; 250,000 Minis a year won’t be enough once the hatchback, Clubman, convertible, the larger five-door, and the smaller model mooted this week are all taken into account.

Option 2: keep the current Mini and A-class and develop a new rear-engined, rear-drive platform

The alternative for BMW and Mercedes is to capitalise on an asset that the latter has had for almost a decade, but never made great use of – the Smart Fortwo. Back in 1997, BMW showed a pair of concept cars at the Geneva motor show developed by Rover several years earlier, and rejected by BMW in 1995 because they were “10 years ahead of their time”. They were called the Mini Spiritual concepts (see gallery); they pre-dated Frank Stephenson’s earliest sketches of the 2000 BMW Mini; and, interestingly enough, like the Smart Fortwo, they were both rear-engined and rear-wheel drive.Ten years later, with belated production of these cars in mind, there’s no reason why BMW couldn’t team up with Daimler, Mercedes’ parent company, on an expansion of Smart’s Hambach factory in Germany. Given enough investment and expansion, there’s little reason why this facility couldn’t produce 500,000 cars a year, half for Daimler as next-generation Smart Fortwos and Forfours, and half for Mini as £8000, 3.4-metre, sub-100g/km entry-level models that could safeguard BMW’s future.

So which will it be?

We'll have to wait and see. Audi entering the supermini segment with its new A1 puts the pressure on both Mercedes and BMW to improve their game in small cars. They could even opt for both plans, but surely one or the other would be more cost-effective. One thing's for sure; over the next few weeks, the German industry press will be on overdrive trying to second-guess which outcome will be adopted. Don't expect anything concrete to emerge until the Frankfurt show opens its doors in September - and when it does, Autocar will bring you news of it first.