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Thu
Mar 13 2008

Death of the hot hatch

Mike Duff

 

History will likely remember Alistair Darling for several things, not least his visual similarity to a human badger. But there’s also the worrying possibility that future generations will look back on him as the Chancellor who killed off the affordable performance car.

Because now the dust has settled on yesterday’s budget statement it’s clear that it’s cheap, fast machinery that is set to suffer more than anything else.

Under the new regime, coming in from the 2010-11 financial year, anything that puts out over 225g/km of CO2 is going to be clobbered with a £750 registration tax and then £430 a year in road tax.

Anything that transgresses further – breaching the 255g/km barrier – will get hit for £950 when the plates get screwed on and £455 a year afterwards.

People with the wedge to fork out £50K for a XXL SUV or a CO2-spewing supercar are likely to dig slightly deeper and simply carry on as before. The Chancellor’s forecast revenue from the new measures demonstrates his clear belief that affluent punters’ buying habits aren’t going to change any time soon.

But this could well be the death-knell for less efficient performance machinery. Cars like the VW Golf R32 (255g/km), Subaru Impreza WRX (246g/km) and Mazda 3 MPS (231g/km) are all going to struggle to find buyers – not just when new and showroom-fresh, but more especially a few years down the line.

Presuming that VED continues to rise at the current rate, it’s not inconceivable that buyers in 2015 are going to be expected to fork out £750 or more a year to keep a six grand hot hatch on the road.

The most likely outcome? That manufacturers will withdraw from this whole bit of the market. I reckon that within a couple of years the sub-£20,000, over-225g/km car will simply cease to exist.

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About Mike Duff

The incoming editor of autocar.co.uk started life in radio news, but found doorstepping bereaved mothers too much like hard work and opted to scribble about cars instead. He joined Autocar in 2007 and reckons that big-engined diesels are the future.

Comments

Sibbo March 13, 2008 8:04 PM

Isn't that the whole point? Not a tree-hugger myself, but in a world where you can currently buy a >200bhp car that does 0-60 in 6.7 secs, 138g/km CO2 and 50mpg on Autocar's touring route, there's no excuse for a hot hatch that spews 255g/km of CO2. It's time the other manufacturers pulled their finger out to match BMWs figures.

samoht March 13, 2008 11:11 PM

None of the cars you mention are real hot hatches - things like Pug 106 Rallye would have no problem meeting the CO2 limits.  If the rules lead to a revival in properly lightweight hot hatches, then so much the better.

The rally-replicas like the WRX are indeed threatened.  However, the manufacturers have two more years to develop the engines to reduce consumption.  Direct-injection turbos should help, and with electronic control of a turbo engine, you can easily trade a bit of power to squeeze under the 225 g/km bar.  CO2 is simply fuel consumption measured differently, so all the tricks used by US manufacturers to evade gas-guzzler taxes, like long top gears and locking out intermediates, will apply here.

Of course, these cars are the most commonly tuned, so the new owner won't have to look far to find a chip to restore the 'missing' horsepower.  

The Golf R32 ? VW will simply supplement or replace it with a diesel version of similar performance.

Unless we see much more radical restrictions in the future, life will probably continue much as before :-)

coolGav March 14, 2008 9:15 AM

"The Golf R32 ? VW will simply supplement or replace it with a diesel version of similar performance."

Yes, I forsee a Golf R50 TDi with that engine from the off-roader thing, wasn't it a V10!

I think the best way round all these CO2 taxes will be with some form of hybrids, like BMW (and shurley others) are developing. Smaller engines with regenerative braking systems to offer higher performance when you need it. Cruise along and you sip fuel, put your foot down and the electric motor surges you forward. Then there would be the high performance models with the same petrol/diesel (or even the Mercedes diesotto or whatever it's called) engine as lower models, just a more powerful electric motor. 100bhp from both engines at once would mean similar performance, but emitting under 120g/km, and so taxed lightly.

neilbriscoe March 14, 2008 2:30 PM

Oh do stop whining. Check out the tax rates we'll have to pay here in Ireland when the new car tax regime comes in on July 1st. Anything over 225g/km will cost €2000 a year in road tax. And that's on top of a 36% purchase tax levy, and 21% VAT before you even get out of the showroom. The phrase 'don't know you're born' seems to sum it up...

JJBoxster March 18, 2008 2:34 AM

There's me thinking Ireland had a low tax regime.. so it's only for attracting foreigner investors is it!! What do you boys drive over there for your fun then.. can you 'after-market' a new car to get around the tax crap?

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