Thu
Apr 30 2009

What happens next at Chrysler?

Ed Keohane
When Julius Caesar crossed the Rubicon in 49BC, on his way to Rome to start a civil war, he is reported to have said: “The die is cast.”

For the Obama administration, the driving force behind Chrysler’s chapter 11 bankruptcy, the significance of Chrysler’s engineered demise is similar. Analysts have forecast wide-spread turmoil across the industry as a result, though none has yet predicted civil war.



Chrysler files for bankruptcy protection
A short history of Chrysler
Chrysler facts and figures

The key to the success of the measure is the smoothness of the passage through bankruptcy. GM, Ford and workers across the US are concerned that if the wind-down becomes disorderly then Chrysler will bring down its suppliers on the way out, and that could take them out as well.

Fiat has been lined up to take a 20 per cent stake in the bankrupt Chrysler, the UAW would get just over half, and the balance would go to the US government.

This deal should allow Fiat to cherry-pick Chrysler’s model range and bring the Fiat 500, Panda and Punto to customers in the US by 2011.

It will also allow Chrysler to break long-standing contracts with its dealers, many of which are covered by state law.

Bob Nardelli has already made it clear that Fiat and a new board of directors would pick a new CEO for the company. Fiat boss Sergio Marchionne has recently said that he would be prepared to do the job if asked.

The lack of a concrete strategy until now means that many US drivers have reportedly moved away from Chrysler purchases, towards Ford, which has strived to emphasise that it has accepted no government bailout cash.

This loss of sales may have further jeopardised Chrysler’s February recovery plan, which was predicated on a 10.7 per cent market share in 2009-2012. The report also contained a preferred restructuring deal with Fiat, in which the Italian company would own 35 per cent of Chrysler, and it’s thought this could now rise as high as 50 per cent.

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About Ed Keohane

Says his job description should be shown at the Smithsonian as one of the longest documents in the English language. Likes small cars and simple 4x4s that he can mend himself.

Comments

horseandcart April 30, 2009 8:30 PM

'What happens next at Chrysler?'

Ed, you have a habit of posing questions you never answer. You've written-up what was reported today. So where's your view on what happens next? You're the man who knows 'the secrets of the car-makers'.

My view is this litlle Obama/Marchionne lash-up will go down as making the Daimler/Chrysler hook-up a case of textbook management.

icecreamwala April 30, 2009 9:10 PM

'What happens next at Chrysler?'

All the computers, desks, chairs, filing cabinets, shelves, phones,pens, potted plants and pictures appear on ebay...

montgomery April 30, 2009 9:32 PM

It would be very, very difficult for Fiat to make as big of a mess of Chrysler as Mercedes did. Marchionne's track record speaks for itself. Turning Chrysler around will be a huge challenge but he's done very well with Fiat so far. With access to Fiat's technology and dealer network, together with Marchionne's leadership and management skills, Chrysler could still have a bright future.

Ed Keohane April 30, 2009 11:45 PM

Ed, you have a habit of posing questions you never answer.

OK.

1) Thomas LaSorda, currently Chrysler president and the driving force behind integration with Fiat, will announce his retirement.

2) Fiat will move forward its plans to bring platforms like the new Bravo (now compliant with US crash test regulations) to the US.

3) Chrysler will put all factory work on hold.

4) Chrysler will cut back its dealers by at least a third, possibly half.

5) The Fiat 500 will start being built in Mexico... maybe.

Sacto8221 May 1, 2009 2:17 AM

Here's an even more intriguing possibility: we will see the Ford Ka sold in the USA.

Why? Because the Fiat Nuova 500 and Ford Ka are built off the same platform, and to justify the tooling costs of building the Nuova 500 at a former Chrysler plant Fiat may have to build Kas for the North American market at the same plant, satisfying a want of Ford President and CEO Alan Mulally, who has express interest in selling the Ka in the US market.

arjab May 2, 2009 7:50 PM

FIAT's collaboration with Chrysler brings with it many interesting possibilities. For starters the Fiat Cinquecento, Fiat LINEA and Fiat Grande Punto (all very good cars in their own right) will find their way to the US of A. The dealer network is already in place. CHRYSLER dealer just needs to change the dealer fascia to CHRYSLER -FIAT......in fact the same exercise has been done in INDIA by FIAT when they entered into a distribution agreement with TATA Motors and started retailing FIAT through the TATA dealer network - now re-badged TATA-FIAT dealers....and with great success.

Eventually, FIAT will leverage its alliances with developing country car makers - for example say TATA MOTORS in India - and possibly by 2011-12 Chrysler badged products will be launched in the Indian / Asian countries - starting with JEEP....which has a tremendous brand loyalty in these countries.

Marchionne is very shrewd.....and am sure he will not repeat the mistakes Daimler did.....also an "Italian-American" work culture creates a far more convivial work atmosphere......this deal will take time.....by 2011 Chrysler should be back on even keel

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